Dodgers @ D-backs
2026-06-04Win probability
LAD
74.6%
ARI
15.6%
Extras needed
9.8%
Expected runs
LAD expected
5.51
ARI expected
3.06
Total expected
8.57
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAD–ARI) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 2 | 3.78% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.74% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.56% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.52% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.50% |
| 6 – 2 | 3.22% |
| 7 – 2 | 2.77% |
| 3 – 2 | 2.63% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 24.9% | 75.1% |
| 6.5 | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| 7.5 | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| 8.5 | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| 9.5 | 35.6% | 64.4% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →