Rangers @ Cardinals
2026-06-03Win probability
TEX
58.4%
STL
28.9%
Extras needed
12.7%
Expected runs
TEX expected
4.73
STL expected
3.65
Total expected
8.38
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–STL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 3 | 4.01% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.61% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.48% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.36% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.35% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.13% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.05% |
| 3 – 4 | 2.96% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 22.8% | 77.2% |
| 6.5 | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| 7.5 | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| 8.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| 9.5 | 33.7% | 66.3% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →