MLB Sims

Giants @ Brewers

2026-06-03

American Family Field · park factor 0.99 · first pitch 2026-06-03T23:40:00Z

Win probability

SF
9.8%
MIL
83.2%
Extras needed
7.0%

Expected runs

SF expected
2.98
MIL expected
6.31
Total expected
9.28
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13

Most likely final scores

Score (SF–MIL)Probability
3 – 63.65%
2 – 63.62%
3 – 53.55%
2 – 53.38%
3 – 73.03%
2 – 73.01%
2 – 42.86%
3 – 42.79%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 33.3% 66.7%
6.5 81.8% 18.2%
7.5 70.5% 29.5%
8.5 57.6% 42.4%
9.5 45.1% 54.9%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →