Athletics @ Cubs
2026-06-03Win probability
OAK
44.4%
CHC
40.0%
Extras needed
15.6%
Expected runs
OAK expected
3.57
CHC expected
3.40
Total expected
6.97
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 7 / 10
Most likely final scores
| Score (OAK–CHC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 3 | 4.75% |
| 3 – 2 | 4.21% |
| 3 – 4 | 4.11% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.80% |
| 2 – 3 | 3.76% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.70% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.70% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.51% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 9.4% | 90.6% |
| 6.5 | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| 7.5 | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| 8.5 | 26.7% | 73.3% |
| 9.5 | 16.6% | 83.4% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →