Mets @ Mariners
2026-06-03Win probability
NYM
30.0%
SEA
54.9%
Extras needed
15.1%
Expected runs
NYM expected
2.93
SEA expected
3.80
Total expected
6.74
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 7 / 10
Most likely final scores
| Score (NYM–SEA) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 4 | 4.73% |
| 2 – 3 | 4.69% |
| 2 – 4 | 4.33% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.29% |
| 4 – 3 | 4.07% |
| 2 – 2 | 3.95% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.73% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.45% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 7.8% | 92.2% |
| 6.5 | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| 7.5 | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| 8.5 | 22.8% | 77.2% |
| 9.5 | 13.9% | 86.1% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →