Dodgers @ D-backs
2026-06-03Win probability
LAD
71.2%
ARI
18.1%
Extras needed
10.7%
Expected runs
LAD expected
5.36
ARI expected
3.26
Total expected
8.62
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAD–ARI) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 3 | 4.02% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.92% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.78% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.32% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.30% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.16% |
| 6 – 2 | 3.13% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.91% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 24.8% | 75.2% |
| 6.5 | 76.1% | 23.9% |
| 7.5 | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| 8.5 | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| 9.5 | 36.2% | 63.8% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →