Tigers @ Rays
2026-06-03Win probability
DET
26.1%
TB
61.6%
Extras needed
12.2%
Expected runs
DET expected
3.77
TB expected
5.17
Total expected
8.93
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (DET–TB) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.71% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.41% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.25% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.17% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.03% |
| 3 – 3 | 2.96% |
| 2 – 4 | 2.83% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.70% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 29.2% | 70.8% |
| 6.5 | 79.2% | 20.8% |
| 7.5 | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| 8.5 | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| 9.5 | 41.4% | 58.6% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →