White Sox @ Twins
2026-06-03Win probability
CWS
26.0%
MIN
62.5%
Extras needed
11.4%
Expected runs
CWS expected
4.19
MIN expected
5.71
Total expected
9.90
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 14
Most likely final scores
| Score (CWS–MIN) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 5 | 3.38% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.28% |
| 4 – 6 | 3.10% |
| 5 – 5 | 3.10% |
| 3 – 5 | 2.93% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.74% |
| 4 – 7 | 2.67% |
| 3 – 4 | 2.62% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 40.1% | 59.9% |
| 6.5 | 86.5% | 13.5% |
| 7.5 | 77.4% | 22.6% |
| 8.5 | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| 9.5 | 53.1% | 46.9% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →