MLB Sims

Rockies @ Angels

2026-06-03

Angel Stadium · park factor 0.99 · first pitch 2026-06-04T01:38:00Z

Win probability

COL
52.2%
LAA
34.2%
Extras needed
13.6%

Expected runs

COL expected
4.51
LAA expected
3.85
Total expected
8.36
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12

Most likely final scores

Score (COL–LAA)Probability
4 – 33.91%
5 – 33.47%
4 – 43.36%
5 – 43.35%
3 – 33.32%
3 – 43.07%
4 – 22.94%
5 – 22.89%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 22.7% 77.3%
6.5 73.0% 27.0%
7.5 59.5% 40.5%
8.5 46.1% 53.9%
9.5 33.4% 66.6%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →