Blue Jays @ Braves
2026-06-02Win probability
TOR
23.7%
ATL
62.4%
Extras needed
13.9%
Expected runs
TOR expected
2.62
ATL expected
3.95
Total expected
6.57
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 6 / 10
Most likely final scores
| Score (TOR–ATL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 – 3 | 5.14% |
| 2 – 4 | 4.93% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.41% |
| 1 – 4 | 4.11% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.99% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.77% |
| 2 – 2 | 3.62% |
| 1 – 3 | 3.60% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 6.8% | 93.2% |
| 6.5 | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| 7.5 | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| 8.5 | 21.5% | 78.5% |
| 9.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →