Rangers @ Cardinals
2026-06-02Win probability
TEX
56.5%
STL
29.3%
Extras needed
14.2%
Expected runs
TEX expected
4.59
STL expected
3.64
Total expected
8.23
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–STL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 3 | 4.15% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.97% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.94% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.84% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.35% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.25% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.20% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.16% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| 6.5 | 71.2% | 28.8% |
| 7.5 | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| 8.5 | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| 9.5 | 30.3% | 69.7% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →