MLB Sims

Giants @ Brewers

2026-06-02

American Family Field · park factor 0.99 · first pitch 2026-06-02T23:40:00Z

Win probability

SF
11.0%
MIL
80.8%
Extras needed
8.1%

Expected runs

SF expected
3.02
MIL expected
6.09
Total expected
9.11
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13

Most likely final scores

Score (SF–MIL)Probability
2 – 53.72%
3 – 63.56%
3 – 53.52%
2 – 63.48%
2 – 73.24%
2 – 43.16%
3 – 73.10%
3 – 42.94%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 31.1% 68.9%
6.5 80.4% 19.6%
7.5 69.0% 31.0%
8.5 56.0% 44.0%
9.5 43.0% 57.0%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →