Athletics @ Cubs
2026-06-02Win probability
OAK
45.1%
CHC
40.2%
Extras needed
14.7%
Expected runs
OAK expected
3.70
CHC expected
3.56
Total expected
7.26
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 7 / 11
Most likely final scores
| Score (OAK–CHC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 3 | 4.24% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.02% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.80% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.62% |
| 2 – 3 | 3.59% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.55% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.39% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.18% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| 6.5 | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| 7.5 | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| 8.5 | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| 9.5 | 20.0% | 80.0% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →