Royals @ Reds
2026-06-02Win probability
KC
33.0%
CIN
53.6%
Extras needed
13.4%
Expected runs
KC expected
4.04
CIN expected
4.82
Total expected
8.86
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (KC–CIN) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 5 | 3.79% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.61% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.46% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.06% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.01% |
| 3 – 5 | 2.98% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.97% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.81% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 27.6% | 72.4% |
| 6.5 | 78.1% | 21.9% |
| 7.5 | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| 8.5 | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| 9.5 | 39.5% | 60.5% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →