Tigers @ Rays
2026-06-02Win probability
DET
20.6%
TB
68.6%
Extras needed
10.8%
Expected runs
DET expected
3.55
TB expected
5.50
Total expected
9.05
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (DET–TB) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.84% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.55% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.37% |
| 4 – 6 | 3.30% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.25% |
| 2 – 6 | 2.89% |
| 3 – 7 | 2.79% |
| 2 – 5 | 2.77% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 28.9% | 71.1% |
| 6.5 | 79.5% | 20.5% |
| 7.5 | 68.1% | 31.9% |
| 8.5 | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| 9.5 | 41.5% | 58.5% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →