Rangers @ Cardinals
2026-06-01Win probability
TEX
55.9%
STL
31.0%
Extras needed
13.1%
Expected runs
TEX expected
4.77
STL expected
3.84
Total expected
8.61
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (TEX–STL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 3 | 3.68% |
| 5 – 3 | 3.66% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.43% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.38% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.10% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.08% |
| 3 – 4 | 2.98% |
| 6 – 3 | 2.89% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 24.9% | 75.2% |
| 6.5 | 75.9% | 24.1% |
| 7.5 | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| 8.5 | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| 9.5 | 36.3% | 63.7% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →