Giants @ Brewers
2026-06-01Win probability
SF
17.4%
MIL
71.8%
Extras needed
10.8%
Expected runs
SF expected
3.12
MIL expected
5.32
Total expected
8.44
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (SF–MIL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.98% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.84% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.81% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.54% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.12% |
| 2 – 6 | 2.96% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.91% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.90% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 22.9% | 77.1% |
| 6.5 | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| 7.5 | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| 8.5 | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| 9.5 | 33.8% | 66.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →