Dodgers @ D-backs
2026-06-01Win probability
LAD
74.1%
ARI
15.8%
Extras needed
10.1%
Expected runs
LAD expected
5.60
ARI expected
3.17
Total expected
8.77
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAD–ARI) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 3 | 4.17% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.70% |
| 6 – 2 | 3.62% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.30% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.04% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.04% |
| 7 – 3 | 2.95% |
| 7 – 2 | 2.84% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 26.2% | 73.8% |
| 6.5 | 77.8% | 22.2% |
| 7.5 | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| 8.5 | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| 9.5 | 38.0% | 62.0% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →