Royals @ Reds
2026-06-01Win probability
KC
26.1%
CIN
61.5%
Extras needed
12.4%
Expected runs
KC expected
3.71
CIN expected
5.03
Total expected
8.74
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (KC–CIN) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.71% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.61% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.35% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.29% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.18% |
| 4 – 6 | 3.04% |
| 2 – 4 | 2.96% |
| 2 – 5 | 2.83% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 26.2% | 73.8% |
| 6.5 | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| 7.5 | 64.8% | 35.2% |
| 8.5 | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| 9.5 | 37.9% | 62.1% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →