Tigers @ Rays
2026-06-01Win probability
DET
18.9%
TB
69.8%
Extras needed
11.2%
Expected runs
DET expected
3.20
TB expected
5.22
Total expected
8.42
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12
Most likely final scores
| Score (DET–TB) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 4 | 4.11% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.65% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.62% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.60% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.49% |
| 2 – 6 | 3.18% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.16% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.07% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| 6.5 | 73.4% | 26.6% |
| 7.5 | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| 8.5 | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| 9.5 | 33.1% | 66.8% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →