MLB Sims

Rockies @ Angels

2026-06-01

Angel Stadium · park factor 0.99 · first pitch 2026-06-02T01:38:00Z

Win probability

COL
46.2%
LAA
39.3%
Extras needed
14.5%

Expected runs

COL expected
4.01
LAA expected
3.73
Total expected
7.74
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 8 / 11

Most likely final scores

Score (COL–LAA)Probability
3 – 34.16%
4 – 34.14%
3 – 43.73%
4 – 43.64%
5 – 33.44%
3 – 23.15%
2 – 33.05%
5 – 43.03%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 16.5% 83.5%
6.5 65.9% 34.1%
7.5 51.4% 48.6%
8.5 37.4% 62.6%
9.5 25.7% 74.4%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →