MLB Sims

Giants @ Rockies

2026-05-31

Coors Field · park factor 1.12 · first pitch 2026-05-31T19:10:00Z

Win probability

SF
42.1%
COL
44.5%
Extras needed
13.3%

Expected runs

SF expected
4.78
COL expected
4.87
Total expected
9.66
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 9 / 14

Most likely final scores

Score (SF–COL)Probability
4 – 43.65%
4 – 53.24%
5 – 43.13%
5 – 52.94%
3 – 42.86%
4 – 32.85%
4 – 62.65%
5 – 32.58%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 37.4% 62.6%
6.5 85.0% 15.0%
7.5 74.9% 25.1%
8.5 62.7% 37.3%
9.5 49.7% 50.3%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →