Phillies @ Dodgers
2026-05-31Win probability
PHI
32.3%
LAD
52.3%
Extras needed
15.3%
Expected runs
PHI expected
2.91
LAD expected
3.56
Total expected
6.48
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 6 / 10
Most likely final scores
| Score (PHI–LAD) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 – 3 | 5.13% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.64% |
| 3 – 4 | 4.43% |
| 2 – 4 | 4.35% |
| 3 – 2 | 4.14% |
| 2 – 2 | 3.89% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.46% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.36% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 6.4% | 93.6% |
| 6.5 | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| 7.5 | 32.6% | 67.4% |
| 8.5 | 20.2% | 79.8% |
| 9.5 | 11.8% | 88.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →