Brewers @ Astros
2026-05-31Win probability
MIL
68.0%
HOU
21.1%
Extras needed
10.9%
Expected runs
MIL expected
5.58
HOU expected
3.64
Total expected
9.22
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (MIL–HOU) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 3 | 3.92% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.40% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.36% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.09% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.06% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.99% |
| 6 – 4 | 2.97% |
| 7 – 3 | 2.79% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 31.2% | 68.8% |
| 6.5 | 81.3% | 18.7% |
| 7.5 | 69.9% | 30.1% |
| 8.5 | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| 9.5 | 43.5% | 56.5% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →