Angels @ Rays
2026-05-31Win probability
LAA
27.6%
TB
61.1%
Extras needed
11.3%
Expected runs
LAA expected
4.66
TB expected
6.10
Total expected
10.76
Total — 10/median/90
7 / 11 / 15
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAA–TB) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 5 | 3.29% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.91% |
| 5 – 6 | 2.83% |
| 5 – 7 | 2.72% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.69% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.65% |
| 3 – 5 | 2.59% |
| 3 – 7 | 2.58% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| 6.5 | 91.8% | 8.3% |
| 7.5 | 84.8% | 15.2% |
| 8.5 | 75.2% | 24.8% |
| 9.5 | 63.9% | 36.1% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →