Royals @ Rangers
2026-05-31Win probability
KC
21.2%
TEX
64.4%
Extras needed
14.4%
Expected runs
KC expected
2.37
TEX expected
3.83
Total expected
6.20
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 6 / 9
Most likely final scores
| Score (KC–TEX) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 – 3 | 5.87% |
| 2 – 4 | 5.11% |
| 1 – 3 | 4.66% |
| 2 – 2 | 4.29% |
| 1 – 4 | 4.26% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.15% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.90% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.73% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 5.1% | 94.9% |
| 6.5 | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| 7.5 | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| 8.5 | 17.4% | 82.6% |
| 9.5 | 9.9% | 90.1% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →