MLB Sims

Tigers @ White Sox

2026-05-31

Rate Field · park factor 0.99 · first pitch 2026-05-31T18:10:00Z

Win probability

DET
19.9%
CWS
68.9%
Extras needed
11.2%

Expected runs

DET expected
3.42
CWS expected
5.34
Total expected
8.76
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13

Most likely final scores

Score (DET–CWS)Probability
3 – 53.89%
3 – 43.47%
3 – 63.28%
4 – 53.22%
2 – 43.13%
2 – 53.04%
4 – 42.98%
4 – 62.94%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 26.5% 73.5%
6.5 76.9% 23.1%
7.5 64.9% 35.1%
8.5 51.4% 48.6%
9.5 38.1% 61.9%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →