MLB Sims

Giants @ Rockies

2026-05-30

Coors Field · park factor 1.12 · first pitch 2026-05-31T01:10:00Z

Win probability

SF
47.7%
COL
39.6%
Extras needed
12.7%

Expected runs

SF expected
4.91
COL expected
4.64
Total expected
9.55
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 9 / 14

Most likely final scores

Score (SF–COL)Probability
5 – 43.45%
4 – 43.19%
5 – 52.97%
3 – 42.86%
4 – 32.86%
4 – 52.83%
6 – 42.81%
5 – 32.68%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 36.5% 63.5%
6.5 84.1% 15.9%
7.5 73.3% 26.7%
8.5 61.5% 38.5%
9.5 48.9% 51.1%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →