Angels @ Rays
2026-05-30Win probability
LAA
18.5%
TB
71.8%
Extras needed
9.6%
Expected runs
LAA expected
3.96
TB expected
6.32
Total expected
10.27
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 14
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAA–TB) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 6 | 3.45% |
| 3 – 7 | 3.07% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.07% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.97% |
| 3 – 5 | 2.84% |
| 2 – 5 | 2.60% |
| 5 – 7 | 2.52% |
| 4 – 7 | 2.41% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| 6.5 | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| 7.5 | 80.2% | 19.8% |
| 8.5 | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| 9.5 | 58.0% | 42.0% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →