Royals @ Rangers
2026-05-30Win probability
KC
21.5%
TEX
64.2%
Extras needed
14.3%
Expected runs
KC expected
2.22
TEX expected
3.63
Total expected
5.84
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 6 / 9
Most likely final scores
| Score (KC–TEX) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 – 3 | 5.79% |
| 2 – 4 | 5.16% |
| 1 – 3 | 5.00% |
| 2 – 2 | 4.88% |
| 1 – 4 | 4.41% |
| 1 – 2 | 4.27% |
| 3 – 3 | 3.92% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.92% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 3.4% | 96.6% |
| 6.5 | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| 7.5 | 23.2% | 76.8% |
| 8.5 | 13.5% | 86.5% |
| 9.5 | 7.0% | 93.0% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →