Tigers @ White Sox
2026-05-30Win probability
DET
23.5%
CWS
64.7%
Extras needed
11.8%
Expected runs
DET expected
3.60
CWS expected
5.21
Total expected
8.81
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (DET–CWS) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.88% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.74% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.34% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.26% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.18% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.10% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.01% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.77% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 27.4% | 72.6% |
| 6.5 | 77.9% | 22.1% |
| 7.5 | 65.2% | 34.8% |
| 8.5 | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| 9.5 | 38.8% | 61.3% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →