MLB Sims

Giants @ Rockies

2026-05-29

Coors Field · park factor 1.12 · first pitch 2026-05-30T00:40:00Z

Win probability

SF
48.5%
COL
38.1%
Extras needed
13.4%

Expected runs

SF expected
4.81
COL expected
4.40
Total expected
9.21
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13

Most likely final scores

Score (SF–COL)Probability
4 – 43.62%
5 – 43.55%
4 – 53.39%
4 – 32.99%
3 – 42.96%
5 – 52.88%
5 – 32.86%
6 – 42.72%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 32.4% 67.6%
6.5 81.2% 18.8%
7.5 70.2% 29.8%
8.5 57.6% 42.4%
9.5 44.4% 55.6%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →