Phillies @ Dodgers
2026-05-29Win probability
PHI
32.7%
LAD
52.2%
Extras needed
15.1%
Expected runs
PHI expected
3.00
LAD expected
3.65
Total expected
6.65
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 7 / 10
Most likely final scores
| Score (PHI–LAD) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 3 | 4.99% |
| 2 – 3 | 4.70% |
| 3 – 4 | 4.39% |
| 2 – 4 | 4.32% |
| 2 – 2 | 3.80% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.80% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.59% |
| 1 – 3 | 3.27% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 7.9% | 92.1% |
| 6.5 | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| 7.5 | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| 8.5 | 23.3% | 76.7% |
| 9.5 | 14.3% | 85.7% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →