Brewers @ Astros
2026-05-29Win probability
MIL
75.2%
HOU
15.0%
Extras needed
9.8%
Expected runs
MIL expected
5.88
HOU expected
3.30
Total expected
9.19
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (MIL–HOU) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 3 | 3.72% |
| 6 – 3 | 3.64% |
| 7 – 3 | 3.41% |
| 5 – 2 | 3.14% |
| 4 – 3 | 3.06% |
| 6 – 2 | 2.89% |
| 4 – 2 | 2.74% |
| 7 – 2 | 2.73% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 32.2% | 67.8% |
| 6.5 | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| 7.5 | 70.5% | 29.5% |
| 8.5 | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| 9.5 | 44.8% | 55.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →