Angels @ Rays
2026-05-29Win probability
LAA
19.5%
TB
70.0%
Extras needed
10.5%
Expected runs
LAA expected
3.90
TB expected
6.10
Total expected
10.00
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 14
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAA–TB) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 6 | 3.23% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.21% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.10% |
| 3 – 7 | 2.83% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.81% |
| 5 – 6 | 2.61% |
| 3 – 4 | 2.61% |
| 4 – 7 | 2.57% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| 6.5 | 86.4% | 13.6% |
| 7.5 | 77.9% | 22.1% |
| 8.5 | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| 9.5 | 54.6% | 45.4% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →