Royals @ Rangers
2026-05-29Win probability
KC
27.3%
TEX
56.5%
Extras needed
16.2%
Expected runs
KC expected
2.35
TEX expected
3.27
Total expected
5.62
Total — 10/median/90
3 / 5 / 9
Most likely final scores
| Score (KC–TEX) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 – 3 | 6.42% |
| 2 – 2 | 5.57% |
| 1 – 3 | 5.06% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.54% |
| 3 – 2 | 4.40% |
| 1 – 2 | 4.39% |
| 2 – 4 | 4.34% |
| 1 – 4 | 3.85% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 2.8% | 97.2% |
| 6.5 | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| 7.5 | 20.1% | 79.9% |
| 8.5 | 11.2% | 88.8% |
| 9.5 | 5.7% | 94.3% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →