Tigers @ White Sox
2026-05-29Win probability
DET
24.2%
CWS
64.2%
Extras needed
11.6%
Expected runs
DET expected
3.67
CWS expected
5.29
Total expected
8.97
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (DET–CWS) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.88% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.53% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.31% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.23% |
| 2 – 5 | 2.93% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.92% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.80% |
| 3 – 7 | 2.70% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| 6.5 | 79.2% | 20.8% |
| 7.5 | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| 8.5 | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| 9.5 | 40.8% | 59.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →