Red Sox @ Indians
2026-05-29Win probability
BOS
38.8%
CLE
46.3%
Extras needed
15.0%
Expected runs
BOS expected
3.58
CLE expected
3.88
Total expected
7.46
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 7 / 11
Most likely final scores
| Score (BOS–CLE) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 3 | 4.33% |
| 4 – 3 | 4.25% |
| 3 – 4 | 4.21% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.89% |
| 2 – 3 | 3.60% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.55% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.40% |
| 4 – 2 | 3.13% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 13.0% | 87.0% |
| 6.5 | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| 7.5 | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| 8.5 | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| 9.5 | 21.1% | 78.8% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →