Braves @ Reds
2026-05-29Win probability
ATL
80.0%
CIN
12.5%
Extras needed
7.5%
Expected runs
ATL expected
7.22
CIN expected
3.89
Total expected
11.11
Total — 10/median/90
7 / 11 / 15
Most likely final scores
| Score (ATL–CIN) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7 – 3 | 3.36% |
| 7 – 4 | 3.02% |
| 8 – 3 | 2.81% |
| 6 – 3 | 2.75% |
| 6 – 4 | 2.69% |
| 8 – 4 | 2.54% |
| 5 – 3 | 2.35% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.28% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| 6.5 | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| 7.5 | 86.5% | 13.5% |
| 8.5 | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| 9.5 | 67.0% | 33.0% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →