Twins @ White Sox
2026-05-28Win probability
MIN
26.2%
CWS
62.3%
Extras needed
11.5%
Expected runs
MIN expected
4.43
CWS expected
5.99
Total expected
10.43
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 15
Most likely final scores
| Score (MIN–CWS) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 6 | 3.11% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.10% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.95% |
| 5 – 6 | 2.81% |
| 3 – 6 | 2.80% |
| 4 – 7 | 2.71% |
| 3 – 5 | 2.68% |
| 4 – 4 | 2.66% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| 6.5 | 89.1% | 10.9% |
| 7.5 | 81.4% | 18.6% |
| 8.5 | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| 9.5 | 59.2% | 40.8% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →