Angels @ Tigers
2026-05-28Win probability
LAA
32.7%
DET
54.7%
Extras needed
12.6%
Expected runs
LAA expected
4.22
DET expected
5.05
Total expected
9.27
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAA–DET) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 4 | 3.35% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.20% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.15% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.13% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.00% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.94% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.78% |
| 3 – 3 | 2.68% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| 6.5 | 81.3% | 18.7% |
| 7.5 | 70.8% | 29.2% |
| 8.5 | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| 9.5 | 45.8% | 54.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →