Cardinals @ Brewers
2026-05-27Win probability
STL
27.6%
MIL
60.3%
Extras needed
12.1%
Expected runs
STL expected
3.82
MIL expected
5.13
Total expected
8.95
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (STL–MIL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.84% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.60% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.48% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.14% |
| 3 – 6 | 3.13% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.04% |
| 2 – 4 | 2.82% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.79% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| 6.5 | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| 7.5 | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| 8.5 | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| 9.5 | 40.5% | 59.5% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →