Twins @ White Sox
2026-05-27Win probability
MIN
36.0%
CWS
50.9%
Extras needed
13.1%
Expected runs
MIN expected
4.59
CWS expected
5.14
Total expected
9.74
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 10 / 14
Most likely final scores
| Score (MIN–CWS) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 5 – 5 | 3.49% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.17% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.13% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.11% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.97% |
| 3 – 4 | 2.84% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.68% |
| 5 – 6 | 2.55% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| 6.5 | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| 7.5 | 75.5% | 24.5% |
| 8.5 | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| 9.5 | 50.8% | 49.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →