Angels @ Tigers
2026-05-27Win probability
LAA
36.1%
DET
51.1%
Extras needed
12.9%
Expected runs
LAA expected
4.52
DET expected
5.10
Total expected
9.62
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 9 / 14
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAA–DET) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 5 | 3.56% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.12% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.03% |
| 3 – 4 | 2.99% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.99% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.83% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.80% |
| 5 – 6 | 2.68% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 36.4% | 63.5% |
| 6.5 | 83.9% | 16.1% |
| 7.5 | 73.6% | 26.4% |
| 8.5 | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| 9.5 | 48.9% | 51.1% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →