Astros @ Rangers
2026-05-27Win probability
HOU
42.1%
TEX
42.8%
Extras needed
15.2%
Expected runs
HOU expected
3.51
TEX expected
3.52
Total expected
7.03
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 7 / 11
Most likely final scores
| Score (HOU–TEX) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 3 | 4.31% |
| 2 – 3 | 4.28% |
| 3 – 4 | 4.16% |
| 4 – 3 | 4.16% |
| 3 – 2 | 3.94% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.73% |
| 2 – 2 | 3.50% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.43% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 10.1% | 89.9% |
| 6.5 | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| 7.5 | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| 8.5 | 27.5% | 72.5% |
| 9.5 | 17.1% | 82.9% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →