MLB Sims

Rockies @ Dodgers

2026-05-27

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · park factor 0.99 · first pitch 2026-05-28T02:10:00Z

Win probability

COL
18.1%
LAD
70.9%
Extras needed
11.0%

Expected runs

COL expected
3.07
LAD expected
5.13
Total expected
8.20
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 8 / 12

Most likely final scores

Score (COL–LAD)Probability
2 – 43.96%
3 – 53.91%
3 – 43.88%
2 – 53.49%
3 – 63.39%
2 – 63.34%
4 – 53.19%
4 – 42.98%

Over / under

LineOverUnder
10.5 20.0% 80.0%
6.5 70.5% 29.5%
7.5 56.9% 43.1%
8.5 42.9% 57.1%
9.5 30.3% 69.7%
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths. No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet). Full methodology →