Cardinals @ Brewers
2026-05-26Win probability
STL
31.3%
MIL
55.7%
Extras needed
13.1%
Expected runs
STL expected
4.12
MIL expected
5.06
Total expected
9.18
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (STL–MIL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 5 | 3.63% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.49% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.43% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.38% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.03% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.93% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.80% |
| 3 – 3 | 2.73% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 31.6% | 68.4% |
| 6.5 | 81.0% | 19.1% |
| 7.5 | 69.9% | 30.1% |
| 8.5 | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| 9.5 | 43.3% | 56.7% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →