Angels @ Tigers
2026-05-26Win probability
LAA
32.1%
DET
55.2%
Extras needed
12.7%
Expected runs
LAA expected
4.09
DET expected
5.02
Total expected
9.11
Total — 10/median/90
5 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (LAA–DET) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 5 | 3.52% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.36% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.31% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.25% |
| 4 – 6 | 3.09% |
| 5 – 4 | 3.06% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.79% |
| 3 – 3 | 2.72% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 30.8% | 69.2% |
| 6.5 | 80.5% | 19.5% |
| 7.5 | 69.6% | 30.4% |
| 8.5 | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| 9.5 | 43.1% | 56.9% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →