Rockies @ Dodgers
2026-05-26Win probability
COL
22.8%
LAD
63.5%
Extras needed
13.7%
Expected runs
COL expected
2.93
LAD expected
4.40
Total expected
7.33
Total — 10/median/90
4 / 7 / 11
Most likely final scores
| Score (COL–LAD) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 – 4 | 4.48% |
| 3 – 3 | 4.08% |
| 2 – 3 | 3.87% |
| 2 – 4 | 3.86% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.83% |
| 2 – 5 | 3.67% |
| 4 – 4 | 3.20% |
| 1 – 4 | 3.14% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 12.7% | 87.3% |
| 6.5 | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| 7.5 | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| 8.5 | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| 9.5 | 20.8% | 79.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →