Cardinals @ Brewers
2026-05-25Win probability
STL
35.5%
MIL
51.5%
Extras needed
13.0%
Expected runs
STL expected
4.38
MIL expected
5.01
Total expected
9.39
Total — 10/median/90
6 / 9 / 13
Most likely final scores
| Score (STL–MIL) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 4 – 4 | 3.49% |
| 4 – 5 | 3.34% |
| 3 – 4 | 3.25% |
| 3 – 5 | 3.05% |
| 5 – 5 | 2.99% |
| 4 – 3 | 2.77% |
| 5 – 4 | 2.72% |
| 4 – 6 | 2.70% |
Over / under
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 34.1% | 65.9% |
| 6.5 | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| 7.5 | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| 8.5 | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| 9.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
These numbers come from 10,000 Poisson simulations using season-to-date team strengths.
No starting pitcher, lineup, or weather adjustment is applied (yet).
Full methodology →